August 5, 2024
4 mins read

Alpha Investor’s Bold Declaration: The Future Tech Giant

What is the "AI Guardian" in Alpha Investor ads? Can it prevent AI's "Oppenheimer Moment?". Read more.

This is an excerpt from a recent ad for Alpha Investor by Charles Mizrahi. Picture this – a second chance to invest in a highly lucrative opportunity.

This advertisement is crafted to capture your attention by appealing to both your fears and your need for security. Charles Mizrahi, joined by infomercial host John Daly (introduced as an “investigative reporter”), begins by highlighting the alarming threat of “Rogue AI”—an entity capable of developing chemical weapons, obtaining nuclear arms, or disrupting financial markets. But there’s no need to panic! The ad quickly introduces “AI Guardian” as the solution to these looming dangers. Here’s a brief excerpt:

Hints are leaking out about the identity of “AI Guardian”.

If you’re curious, I can share a bit more about the history of the company. Want to know how it all started?

Got it! Send over the next part of the ad, and I’ll help break it down and rewrite it if needed. Let’s see why Mizrahi is so bullish on this company!

And here’s a little tip regarding the company’s size…

He also implies that they have signed deals with the military and drops some hints about it.

Several well-known clients further reinforce that this company is far more than just an AI startup—it has an established presence and a solid track record. The range of industries it serves suggests that it has been operating for quite some time, positioning itself as a key player rather than a newcomer in the tech space.

The repeated comparison to “the next Microsoft” revolves around the idea that this company offers a comprehensive solution, addressing critical challenges faced by major cloud providers and leading AI firms. Its technology is positioned as a game-changer, capable of integrating across the industry and solving widespread inefficiencies.

So what does this company do? From the ad, it sounds like it speeds up and protects data.

And a few more specifics about the company…

Mizrahi delves deeper into the company’s offerings, highlighting a “data transfer accelerator” designed for seamless integration into data centers. This technology optimizes data flow, reducing bottlenecks and enhancing efficiency. Additionally, he introduces a software platform that acts as a bridge between major cloud providers—essentially a “universal operating system” that ensures compatibility across different systems, positioning the company as a critical player in the AI and cloud computing landscape.

Additionally, he mentioned their cyberattack prevention solutions.

He summarizes the information once more on the order form:

Arista Networks may not be as massive as Microsoft or other tech giants, but it’s far from a small player. This is essentially a bullish case for ANET, a stock that has been widely recommended throughout the past decades, including by Motley Fool.

Arista’s origins trace back to some of the biggest names in tech. Andy Bechtolsheim was the founding members, a key figure behind Sun Microsystems; Ken Duda, the mastermind behind Arista’s EOS software platform, along with David Cheriton, a key early investor in Google. In 2008, Jayshree Ullal was brought in as CEO after a 15-year tenure at Cisco, where she helped build its data center networking infrastructure division. With an innovative network architecture and software-driven approach, Arista quickly secured early contracts from major tech firms, paving the way for its IPO in 2014. While the company has filed 823 patents, only 526 have been granted—though quality matters more than sheer quantity.

After its IPO, Arista’s stock has delivered impressive gains, but it hasn’t been a smooth ride. Phases of downturn performance have occurred, largely due to fluctuations in capital expenditures from its biggest customers—the “cloud titans” who drive much of its revenue.

Arista’s rapid ascent began when concerns over big tech’s capital expenditure cuts in 2022 faded, giving way to a surge in AI-driven data center investments throughout 2023. As top-line and bottom-line expansion accelerated, investor enthusiasm propelled ANET’s valuation to new heights.

Now sitting at an $87,000 million market cap, Arista is certainly smaller than industry titans like NVIDIA and Microsoft, but it remains a formidable player. With earnings growing nearly 40%, revenue increasing by 20% annually in the last half-decade, its performance outpaces most of big tech—aside from NVIDIA. However, with a price-to-earnings ratio hovering around 35-40X, the stock isn’t exactly a bargain, and buying at record highs requires strong conviction in its continued momentum. Whether that momentum holds will largely depend on its biggest clients, Microsoft, Meta Platform, and their ongoing investment in data center infrastructure. The broader trend of modernization remains strong, and Arista has steadily gained market share within the network switching sector—though competitive landscapes can shift rapidly.

While Arista isn’t traditionally classified as a company specializing in cybersecurity, its core business in network traffic management naturally involves security considerations. Like Cisco and other networking firms, Arista is likely ramping up its focus on security. As for Mizrahi’s claims that Arista plays a critical role in managing “Rogue AI,” it’s unclear whether this is a distinct advantage or simply part of a broader industry trend.

If you’ve followed our coverage on Arista, much of this will sound familiar. Just a few weeks ago, when Motley Fool highlighted ANET like their “artificial intelligence phase two Stock” behind “Invisible Goldmines of AI,” I shared a Quick Take with the Irregulars. Since then, the stock has remained nearly flat—moving within 1 precent of its previous level—without any major updates from the firm.

The evidence presented clearly points to Arista, but Mizrahi introduces a misleading statement by claiming, “you can buy a piece for just $5.” This could be confusing since Arista Networks currently trades around $275 per share. However, with most brokers now offering fractional shares, investors can indeed purchase $5 worth of Arista if they choose.

What truly matters isn’t the price per share but the company’s overall valuation and how much you’re willing to invest. Share prices are determined by the number of outstanding shares, which varies from company to company and can change due to stock splits or new issuances—making it more of a technical figure than a meaningful indicator of value.

Are you thinking about investing in Arista Networks? With the stock near all-time highs and investor enthusiasm running strong, does that impact your decision? Share your thoughts in the comments below, and thanks for reading!

RT

"Hey there! My pen name is RT, actual Faris. For the past seven years, I have devoted myself to mastering the macros through a simple yet robust approach that utilizes three main pillars: Ratios, Cycles, and Technical Analysis. Right here, I share my views and examine either the works or newsletters of others. Plus my own take on the market. Enjoy!"

1 Comment

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