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06/09/2026  
06/09/2026
13 mins read

Silver X Made $17.3M Last Quarter, Why AISC Is Still $46 Not $15.80

Silver X Mining Corp. TSXV: AGX / OTCQX: AGXPF / FRA: AGX

Introduction

Silver X Mining Corp. is a Canadian-listed silver producer and developer focused on building a multi-asset precious-metals platform in Peru. The company’s flagship asset is the Nueva Recuperada Silver District in Huancavelica, central Peru, where Silver X is already producing silver, gold, lead and zinc from the Tangana Mining Unit.

The company currently describes Nueva Recuperada as a district-scale land package of approximately 20,795 hectares, containing multiple mining areas and more than 200 exploration targets. Silver X also acquired the separate Pampas Gold-Silver Project in 2026, giving the company a second district-scale exploration asset in Peru.

The most important point is that Silver X is not just an exploration story. Tangana is already operating and generating revenue. During Q2 2026, Silver X processed a record 62,252 tonnes, produced 283,029 AgEq ounces, including 145,885 oz silver and 1,404 oz gold, and generated record net operating revenue of US$17.3M and adjusted EBITDA of US$6.9M. The company reported Q2 net income of US$3.1M and first-half 2026 net income of US$7.7M. Cash stood at US$49.7M at June 30, 2026.

The bigger investment case comes from the 2025 Preliminary Economic Assessment. The PEA outlines a future district-scale operation combining the Tangana and Plata Mining Units at 3,000 tonnes per day, producing approximately 6.2M AgEq ounces annually over a 14-year mine life. The study reports after-tax NPV5% of US$439M, after-tax IRR of 69%, initial capex of approximately US$82M, LOM cash costs of US$11.8/AgEq oz, and LOM AISC of US$15.8/AgEq oz.

The strongest upside comes from several areas. The existing production, the ability to scale production significantly, a large polymetallic resource, high-grade silver zones at Plata and Red Silver, widening mineralization at Blenda Rubia, the Ccasahuasi gold system, and the newly acquired Pampas district.

The main warning is cost. The US$15.8/oz AgEq PEA AISC is a future life-of-mine model, not Silver X’s current operating cost. Actual Q2 2026 AISC was US$46.10/AgEq oz, improved from US$53.24 in Q1, so the company still has a substantial cost gap to close before it can demonstrate PEA-style economics.

Projects / Location / MRE / Grades

Project 1: Nueva Recuperada Silver District, Huancavelica, Peru, Flagship Producing and Expansion Asset

Nueva Recuperada is Silver X’s flagship asset and the core of the investment thesis. It is located in the historic Huachocolpa mining district of Huancavelica, central Peru. The district contains producing, development and exploration assets that Silver X is attempting to integrate into one larger production platform.

The current strategy revolves primarily around Tangana and Plata, with additional growth coming from Red Silver, Blenda Rubia, Ccasahuasi and numerous other targets.

AreaAssessment
Main assetNueva Recuperada Silver District, led by the producing Tangana Mining Unit and future Plata restart.
Location feelHuancavelica, Peru. Historic mining district with existing operations, but Peru remains Tier 2 in this framework because political, permitting, and community risk are higher than Canada/Australia.
Operating statusTangana is producing and ramping. Q2 2026 processed 62,252 tonnes and produced 283,029 AgEq oz.
Growth planMove from today’s Tangana-scale operation toward a 3,000 tpd Tangana + Plata district plan under the 2025 PEA.
Key riskCurrent AISC remains far above the PEA model, so scale-up and cost reduction are the main proof points.

Nueva Recuperada 2025 Mineral Resource Estimate

The updated resource has an effective date of May 31, 2025. Combined M&I plus inferred resources represent approximately 152.2Moz AgEq. The resource is meaningful, but the majority of tonnage remains inferred, so conversion drilling remains important.

CategoryTonnesAg GradeAuPbZnAgEq GradeContained AgEq
Measured1.63Mt3.09 oz/t0.691 g/t2.46%2.77%8.56 oz/t14.0Moz
Indicated2.28Mt4.39 oz/t0.297 g/t2.43%3.47%9.52 oz/t21.7Moz
Total M&I3.91Mt3.85 oz/t0.461 g/t2.44%3.18%9.12 oz/t35.6Moz
Inferred15.11Mt4.51 oz/t0.265 g/t1.49%1.72%7.50 oz/t116.6Moz

Grade Feel

The overall grade profile is attractive. M&I resources average 3.85 oz/t silver, roughly 120 g/t Ag before considering gold, lead and zinc credits. On an AgEq basis, M&I grades average 9.12 oz/t AgEq, and inferred resources carry 7.50 oz/t AgEq.

This is not a low-grade bulk-tonnage silver system. Nueva Recuperada contains numerous high-grade underground veins, with individual areas materially above the overall resource grade. The major issue is resource confidence because inferred tonnes dominate the resource base.

Tangana Mining Unit Current Producing Asset

Tangana is the asset generating cash flow today. During Q2 2026, Silver X processed 62,252 tonnes at an average rate of roughly 700 tpd, compared with 44,883 tonnes in Q1. Ore mined increased to 67,439 tonnes and underground development increased to 3,159 metres. Silver X is targeting a 1,000-tpd run rate during Q3 2026.

Operating MetricQ2 2026 / Current Status
Ore processed62,252 tonnes, a company record.
Production283,029 AgEq oz, including 145,885 oz silver and 1,404 oz gold.
Revenue / EBITDAUS$17.3M net operating revenue and US$6.9M adjusted EBITDA.
ProfitabilityUS$3.1M net income in Q2 and US$7.7M in H1 2026.
Current scaleAbout 700 tpd in Q2; targeting 1,000 tpd in Q3 2026.
Current cost issueQ2 cash cost US$34.33/AgEq oz and AISC US$46.10/AgEq oz; YTD AISC US$48.88/AgEq oz.

The positive is that Tangana proves Silver X can mine, process, sell concentrate and generate income from the district. The negative is cost: current AISC remains far above the PEA’s US$15.8/oz AgEq target. This is probably the single most important operating metric to track over the next several quarters.

Nueva Recuperada 2025 PEA Economics

The 2025 PEA models a combined Tangana and Plata operation. It uses long-term metal prices of US$33.20/oz silver, US$2,928/oz gold, US$0.93/lb lead and US$1.34/lb zinc.

PEA MetricValue
Mine life14 years
Combined capacity3,000 tpd
Average annual production~6.2M AgEq oz
Peak production~8.7M AgEq oz
Initial capex~US$82M
LOM cash costUS$11.8/AgEq oz
LOM AISCUS$15.8/AgEq oz
After-tax NPV5%US$439M
After-tax IRR69%
After-tax payback~3 years
Cumulative after-tax cash flow~US$606M
Average ore valueUS$166.4/t
Average underground mining cost~US$36.3/t
Processing cost~US$12.7/t
Overheads~US$14.9/t
Average total cost~US$75/t

The economics are strong on paper. US$82M initial capex is modest compared with US$439M after-tax NPV, especially because Silver X already operates in the district. However, this remains a PEA and the mine plan incorporates inferred resources, so it should not be valued like a reserve-backed feasibility study.

Plata Mining Unit Advanced Restart / Development Asset

Plata is the second major pillar of the growth plan. The area has a long mining history and is known for higher-grade silver-polymetallic mineralization. It is important because it can help move Silver X from a single-producing-area company toward a multi-mine district operator.

Plata Resource / Development PointAssessment
Indicated resource0.99Mt grading 5.91 oz/t Ag, 2.36% Pb and 4.11% Zn, equivalent to 10.53 oz/t AgEq.
Inferred resource5.55Mt grading 3.79 oz/t Ag, 1.53% Pb and 2.52% Zn, equivalent to 6.65 oz/t AgEq.
Historic productionHistorically mined approximately 1.8Mt at high grades.
Development rolePreviously targeted to come online during 2027 under the company’s development plan.
Key valuePotentially turns Nueva Recuperada into a broader Tangana + Plata district-scale production platform.

Red Silver, Blenda Rubia and Ccasahuasi Near-Mine Optionality

TargetWhy It MattersKey Details
Red SilverHighest-quality pure-silver growth target inside Nueva Recuperada.PEA diluted mining inventory around 13.83 oz/t / 430 g/t silver; silver represents more than 90% of in-situ metal value. 2026 channel sampling included 735 g/t Ag over 65m strike and 649 g/t Ag over 40m strike.
Blenda RubiaEmerging wider polymetallic target that could support more productive mining methods if continuity is proven.June 2026 drilling returned 40.71m estimated true width grading 98.7 g/t AgEq, including 4.12m grading 274.5 g/t AgEq. The width is the most important point.
CcasahuasiGold optionality beside Tangana and already included in the Nueva Recuperada PEA.Lily 19 concession acquired from Barrick in 2026 for US$30,000. Inferred resource of 1.405Mt at 0.936 g/t Au for 42,303 oz Au, defined by only 903.5m of drilling in four holes.

Project 2: Pampas Gold-Silver Project, Huancavelica, Peru, Second District-Scale Exploration Asset

Pampas is Silver X’s newest major exploration asset. In March 2026, Silver X entered into an agreement to acquire 100% of the approximately 7,712.5-hectare Pampas Gold-Silver Project in Huancavelica.

The project contains at least 36 mapped gold-silver veins, with mapped strike lengths up to approximately two kilometres. Historical and validation sampling has returned values as high as 85.9 g/t gold and 1,065 g/t silver. These are individual sample values and should not be interpreted as average project grades.

Pampas should be treated as exploration optionality, not base-case NAV. There is no current compliant mineral resource, mine plan, reserve, AISC, capex, NPV or production schedule. The value is in potential drilling success and the possibility that Silver X can apply its Peru operating platform to another district.

Share Structure / Ownership / Insiders

Capital Structure

Current share-structure information requires care because Silver X’s own investor webpage is outdated and still displays July 2025 figures. The following uses newer market information where available and should be refreshed before publication.

Capital Structure MetricCurrent / Approximate Value
Basic shares outstanding~286.74M
Approx. fully diluted shares~341M
Share price, Aug. 28, 2026C$0.93
Basic market capitalization~C$266.7M
Approx. fully diluted market capitalization~C$317.1M
Cash, June 30 2026US$49.7M
Working capitalUS$35.1M
Senior secured convertible debenturesC$69M principal
Debenture coupon10%
Debenture maturityMarch 18, 2031
Conversion priceC$1.62/share

Convertible Debentures

The largest capital-structure item is the C$69M senior secured convertible debenture financing completed in March 2026. The debentures mature in March 2031, pay 10% annual interest, and are convertible into common shares at C$1.62/share. If the full C$69M principal eventually converts at C$1.62, it would represent approximately 42.6M potential new shares before options, warrants or other securities.

This financing dramatically improves Silver X’s ability to fund growth, but it also creates two risks: meaningful interest expense while the debt remains outstanding and potential dilution if the debentures convert into equity.

Share Structure Feel

The share structure is mixed. Silver X now has a stronger balance sheet and enough capital to advance its near-term development plan, which is a major improvement versus a typical junior producer constantly returning to the equity market. However, approximately 287M basic shares and roughly 341M estimated fully diluted shares are not especially tight, and the convertible debentures create substantial potential dilution.

Ownership / Insiders

HolderApproximate Ownership
Baker Steel Capital Managers~6.8%
José García~5.1% common-share position
Francis Johnstone<0.1%
Darryl Cardey<0.1%

Ownership is good but not exceptional. The CEO having approximately 5% direct ownership creates useful alignment, while Baker Steel’s approximately 6.8% stake provides a credible specialist mining investor on the register. However, insider ownership does not appear high enough to earn the same score as companies where management and founders control 20–30%+.

People / Management

PersonRoleDetailsManagement Feel
José M. GarcíaPresident, CEO & DirectorCo-founder with more than 20 years of mining-engineering experience. Previously held positions with Anglo American, Inmet and BHP Billiton, with operational and production experience across Peru, Chile, Spain, Australia and Switzerland.Relevant operating and big-company background for a Peru producer moving through scale-up.
David GleitChief Financial OfficerMore than 25 years of financial experience across mining, construction and asset management. Former CFO at Sierra Sun Group and STRACON; previously worked in corporate development and investor relations at Volcan.Useful finance and capital discipline background for a company with convertible debt and expansion plans.
Darryl CardeyDirectorCo-founded Northern Empire Resources, acquired by Coeur in 2018, and Underworld Resources, acquired by Kinross in 2009. Founder/director of Otterburn Resources, predecessor to K92 Mining.Strong company-building and exit record; ticks the previous successful project/company-sale box.
Francis JohnstoneDirectorInvestment advisor to Baker Steel. Trained in corporate finance and M&A at Citibank before entering the mining sector in 1989; served on numerous listed and private junior-mining boards.Adds mining investment and governance experience.
Mark N.J. AshcroftDirectorApproximately 40 years across underground mining operations, project development, corporate finance and advisory roles. Began underground at Inco and led Stonegate Agricom through a C$51.75M IPO.Strong underground operating and project development experience.
Joseph GallucciDirectorMore than 20 years of mining investment-banking and equity-research experience, including senior roles at BMO, GMP, Dundee, Eight Capital, Laurentian and Ventum.Strengthens the capital-markets side.
Operating / Technical DepthGeneral Manager / QP supportRicardo Martínez serves as General Manager. The PEA included experienced QPs such as David Heyl, Edgar Vilela and Donald Hickson. Vilela has mine-planning and operating experience with Volcan, Pan American Silver and Fortuna.Helpful technical depth as Silver X moves from producer to larger district-scale developer.

Risks / Catalysts / Timeline

Key Risks

Risk CategoryKey Risk
Current cost riskQ2 2026 AISC was US$46.10/AgEq oz versus the PEA’s modeled US$15.8/oz. Silver X must demonstrate that scale can materially reduce actual operating costs.
PEA-level study riskExpansion economics remain based on a PEA rather than a PFS or feasibility study.
Inferred resource risk15.11Mt is inferred versus 3.91Mt M&I. The PEA incorporates inferred resources, which carry lower geological confidence.
Production without reservesSilver X states that current production is not based on mineral reserves supported by a PFS or feasibility study.
Scale-up riskMoving from roughly 700–1,000 tpd toward 3,000 tpd requires mine development, infrastructure, construction, commissioning and stronger operating discipline.
Permitting riskExpansion depends on environmental and processing permits. Tangana expansion permits are expected during 2027.
Financing / debt riskC$69M of secured convertible debentures carry a 10% coupon, creating meaningful annual financing costs.
Dilution riskThe C$1.62 conversion price could add roughly 42.6M shares if the C$69M principal converts, before other options and warrants.
Grade reconciliation riskUnderground polymetallic veins can be sensitive to dilution, continuity, mining selectivity and actual recovered grades.
Metallurgical riskPlata still requires additional flotation, comminution and filtration work before a higher-confidence study. Concentrate payability and treatment charges also affect economics.
Peru jurisdiction riskPeru is a major mining country but carries political, permitting, community and social-disruption risk above Tier 1 jurisdictions.
Commodity price riskSilver is the main valuation driver, while gold, zinc and lead credits materially influence AgEq economics.
Pampas exploration riskPampas has attractive samples but no current NI 43-101 resource; it remains early-stage exploration optionality.

The PEA itself cautions that inferred resources are too speculative to be considered mineral reserves and that there is no certainty the PEA will be realized. That risk must stay visible in the report.

Catalysts

TimingCatalyst
Q3 2026Targeted achievement of approximately 1,000-tpd Tangana run rate.
H2 2026Continued 40,000-metre district drilling campaign.
H2 2026Red Silver 6,650-metre underground drilling program.
H2 2026Additional Blenda Rubia drill results and underground rehabilitation.
H2 2026Additional Tangana and Plata resource-expansion / conversion drilling.
2026–2027Continued Pampas exploration and initial systematic drill testing.
2027Expected Tangana expansion permitting.
2027Potential Plata restart / advancement toward production under the company’s previously published development plan.
2027–2028Engineering and construction work toward expanded Tangana and Recuperada processing capacity.
2028–2029Potential Pampas initial resource work if drilling succeeds.
2028–2029Ramp toward district-scale dual-mill configuration.
2029Company objective of approximately 3,000 tpd combined capacity and ~6M AgEq annual production.

Silver X’s latest Q2 2026 update continues to target approximately 6M AgEq ounces annually by 2029 and expects expansion permitting during 2027.

Expected Timeline to Full Production / Expansion

Year / PeriodFocusWhat It Means
2026Tangana ramp-upCurrent production is being expanded toward a targeted 1,000-tpd run rate while mine development and exploration increase.
2026Resource-growth yearThe 40,000m program targets Tangana, Plata, Red Silver, Blenda Rubia and other district targets.
2027Permitting / second-mine transitionTangana expansion permits are currently expected during 2027. Plata may begin moving toward contribution under the earlier development plan.
2027–2028Construction and expansionEngineering, mine development, processing expansion and new Tangana infrastructure become the main execution challenge.
2028–2029District ramp-upTangana and Plata should increasingly operate as an integrated district rather than a single-mine producer if the plan succeeds.
2029Full growth targetManagement’s objective is approximately 3,000 tpd combined capacity and around 6M AgEq ounces of annual production.
Beyond 2029Resource / mine-life expansionRed Silver, Blenda Rubia, Ccasahuasi and other targets could extend or increase production, while Pampas represents a potential second long-term district.

The important distinction is that 2029 is the strategic target, not a guaranteed production date. Silver X has not yet provided a fully updated construction and commissioning schedule equivalent to a feasibility-study execution plan.

Valuation

High-Silver-Price Torque Model — US$150/oz and US$200/oz Silver

This section extends the high-silver-price sensitivity model to much more aggressive silver-price scenarios. It is a simplified upside model and should not be treated as an official company forecast.

The model assumes that Silver X successfully reaches its planned large-scale production profile and that long-term operating costs remain approximately in line with the PEA estimate of US$15.80/AgEq oz. This is a major assumption because current operating AISC is far higher.

Base AssumptionValue
PEA cumulative after-tax cash flow~US$606M over 14 years
Simplified annual after-tax cash flowUS$606M ÷ 14 years = ~US$43.3M/year
PEA silver priceUS$33.20/oz
PEA AISCUS$15.80/AgEq oz
Simplified base marginUS$33.20 − US$15.80 = US$17.40/oz
Option / exploration value addedUS$33M for Pampas and unmodeled Nueva Recuperada upside

Silver Torque Calculation

Silver PriceStepCalculation / Result
US$150/ozTheoretical marginUS$150 − US$15.80 = US$134.20/oz
US$150/ozRelative to PEA marginUS$134.20 ÷ US$17.40 = ~7.71×
US$150/ozEstimated annual after-tax FCFUS$43.3M × 7.71 = ~US$334.0M/year
US$200/ozTheoretical marginUS$200 − US$15.80 = US$184.20/oz
US$200/ozRelative to PEA marginUS$184.20 ÷ US$17.40 = ~10.59×
US$200/ozEstimated annual after-tax FCFUS$43.3M × 10.59 = ~US$458.4M/year

At US$150–US$200 silver, the theoretical margin becomes extraordinary. However, this is only useful if Silver X can reach planned scale while keeping costs, recoveries, dilution, financing costs and operating performance broadly in line with the PEA framework.

All-Projects High-Silver Valuation

Silver PriceEst. Annual After-Tax FCFMultipleCore ValueOptionalityTotal Implied ValueImplied C$/Share
US$150/ozUS$334.0M10×US$3.340BUS$33MUS$3.373BC$13.35
US$150/ozUS$334.0M15×US$5.009BUS$33MUS$5.042BC$19.96
US$150/ozUS$334.0M20×US$6.679BUS$33MUS$6.712BC$26.57
US$200/ozUS$458.4M10×US$4.584BUS$33MUS$4.617BC$18.28
US$200/ozUS$458.4M15×US$6.876BUS$33MUS$6.909BC$27.35
US$200/ozUS$458.4M20×US$9.168BUS$33MUS$9.201BC$36.42

This valuation is aggressive and simplified. It is designed to show silver-price torque, not guaranteed fair value. The key practical question is whether Silver X can reduce actual AISC, scale production, convert inferred resources, advance permits, and manage debt/dilution without breaking the thesis.

Summary & Quick Scorecard

CategoryChecklist / AssessmentOverall
Company OverviewStock ticker: TSXV: AGX / OTCQX: AGXPF / FRA: AGX

Main metal: Silver

Secondary metals: Gold, lead, zinc, copper

Phase: Producer / expansion-stage developer

Country: Peru
1. ManagementPrevious successful project/company sale: Yes

Exploration-to-development experience: Yes

Big mining-company experience: Yes

Capital-markets experience: Yes
Strong
2. ProjectsHigh grades: Yes

Large MRE: Yes — ~152.2Moz AgEq M&I + inferred

Multiple deposits: Yes

Multiple metals: Yes

Exploration optionality: Very strong
Strong
3. Cost StructurePEA AISC: US$15.8/AgEq oz — attractive
Current Q2 2026 AISC: US$46.10/AgEq oz — high

Initial PEA capex: US$82M — reasonable

Existing infrastructure: Yes
Strong
4. Share Structure DisciplineBasic shares: ~286.7M

Approx. FD shares: ~341M

FD market cap at C$0.93: ~C$317M

Significant convertible dilution possible
Strong
5. Insider / OwnershipCEO common-share ownership: ~5.1%

Baker Steel: ~6.8%

Meaningful alignment, but not exceptionally high insider ownership
Weak
6. LocationCountry: Peru, Tier 2

Region: Huancavelica

Historic mining district: Huachocolpa

Excellent mining endowment but higher political/permitting/community risk than Canada or Australia
Good

RT Rating, Commentary

Silver X Mining Corp. is on our watchlist.

We rate this as 4 out of 5 stars.

Silver X ticks many of the boxes we look for in a high-potential silver stock. This is already a real producer, not simply a drill story. It has a large mineral resource, very strong silver leverage, existing underground infrastructure, an operating processing plant, multiple high-grade mining areas, a second development-stage mine at Plata, excellent exploration optionality and a 2025 PEA showing transformational economics.

The US$439M after-tax NPV against an approximately C$267M basic market capitalization makes the valuation interesting, especially because the PEA uses only US$33.20/oz silver. The resource is also meaningful: Nueva Recuperada contains approximately 35.6Moz AgEq M&I plus 116.6Moz inferred, giving roughly 152Moz AgEq overall, while Red Silver, Blenda Rubia, Ccasahuasi and Pampas provide additional optionality.

Management is stronger than a normal small junior. José García brings operating and big-company experience from Anglo American, Inmet and BHP. Darryl Cardey previously co-founded mining companies acquired by Coeur and Kinross. Mark Ashcroft adds underground operating and development experience, while Joseph Gallucci and Francis Johnstone strengthen the capital-markets side.

The thing preventing Silver X from receiving a 5-star rating today is execution. The PEA tells us what Nueva Recuperada could become, while current operations show where Silver X actually is. The gap is still large: the company produced 283,029 AgEq ounces in Q2 2026 and is ramping toward 1,000 tpd, while the PEA vision is roughly 6.2M AgEq ounces annually at 3,000 tpd. More importantly, actual Q2 AISC remains US$46.10/AgEq oz, almost three times the PEA’s modeled US$15.8/oz life-of-mine AISC.

Silver X also needs to convert more inferred resources, manage its C$69M convertible debt, control interest expense and dilution, and execute in Peru, which remains a Tier 2 jurisdiction in this framework. If the company reaches 1,000 tpd, continues reducing AISC, receives expansion permits, advances Plata and eventually approaches the 3,000-tpd / ~6M AgEq production target, the business could look dramatically different from the company investors see today.

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RT

We spent more than a decade as a forex trader before discovering a simpler truth: macro thinking beats trading noise. That the exact date we became a value investor. Our investing framework focuses on fundamentals, cycles, ratio charts, and technical timing. If you want to understand markets without the Wall Street jargon, follow along.

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